Politics & Policy United States
10h ago

GOP Panic Mounts Over Ken Paxton Texas Senate Race

Key Points

  • GOP strategists warn of catastrophic Senate majority loss if Paxton loses Texas race
  • Outside groups commit over $131 million with nearly $45 million more due by Oct 12
  • Leaked audio of Paxton trashing Trump convention fuels internal party panic and doubt
  • Paxton holds minus-16 net favorability rating, making him least popular TX nominee this century

Editorial Deep Dive & Context

Senior Republican officials and strategists are increasingly alarmed by Ken Paxton’s struggling campaign for the U.S. Senate seat in Texas against Democrat James Talarico. Describing the situation as a 'slow-moving car crash' and a 'five-alarm fire,' GOP insiders fear that losing this race could jeopardize the party's majority in the Senate. Despite outside groups already committing over $131 million through the Senate Leadership Fund and nearly $45 million from MAGA Inc. affiliates by October 12, total spending is projected to exceed $200 million. Internal anxiety has intensified following leaked audio of Paxton disparaging President Donald Trump’s midterm convention in Dallas, which revealed a lack of clear strategy and damaged his favorability among voters. CNN data analyst Harry Enten noted Paxton’s net favorability stands at minus-16 points, making him the least popular Texas Republican Senate nominee this century. Prominent figures like Karl Rove have warned of catastrophic losses, while Trump himself acknowledged Paxton can be difficult despite their alliance. The financial burden has sparked concerns that heavy investment in Texas might drain resources from other critical battleground states like Michigan and New Hampshire. With the final weeks approaching, senior Hill Republicans are privately pressuring Trump’s team to increase ad spending immediately to prevent a potential electoral disaster

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Oct 3, 2026 • 8:30 AM
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GOP Panic Mounts Over Ken Paxton Texas Senate Race

Senior Republicans express deep alarm over Ken Paxton's poor standing in Texas, urging Trump allies to accelerate $200 million spending before October 12

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News Sources (2)

https://politico.com/news/2026/10/03/paxton-texas-senate-trump-gop-money-woes-01105707
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https://attackofthefanboy.com/news/slow-moving-car-crash-republicans-have-put-131m-into-texas-but-a-report-says-alarm-bells-are-ringing-in-the-gop-camp-over-ken-paxtons-campaign
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